New Delhi: Tensions are rising in the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most important oil routes. Iran may close the strait following U.S. strikes on its nuclear sites. India is at risk because over 35 percent of its crude oil and 42 percent of its LNG pass through this route.
India Has Crude Reserves for 90 Days
India has enough oil reserves for about 90 days, giving it some cushion in case of short-term disruption. However, any long delays or sharp freight increases could still hurt.
Saudi Arabia Offers Help via Red Sea Route
Saudi Arabia, which supplies 18–20 percent of India’s crude, can reroute oil through the Red Sea using the Petroline-Yanbu corridor. Though this may raise costs slightly, it will help ensure a continuous supply to Indian refiners.
Russia Becomes India’s Top Oil Source
Since 2022, India has reduced its reliance on Middle Eastern oil. In June 2025, India imported 2.2 million barrels per day (mb/d) from Russia, more than from all Middle Eastern suppliers combined. This helps reduce India’s dependence on the Hormuz route.
Diversified Import Strategy Strengthens India
India imports around 5.5 mb/d of crude oil. Imports from the U.S. (0.44 mb/d), West Africa, Brazil, and Latin America do not go through the Hormuz Strait. These shipments use alternate routes like the Suez Canal, Cape of Good Hope, or the Pacific Ocean.
Low Chance of Full Closure
Experts believe a full closure of the Strait of Hormuz is unlikely. Iran itself sends 96 percent of its oil through this route and may not want to hurt its own economy or upset buyers like China.
Possible Short-Term Disruptions
Even if the strait is not fully blocked, short disruptions of 1–3 days are possible. This could cause freight charges to rise, fewer empty tankers in the region, and increased oil prices due to fear and uncertainty in the market.
(With IANS Inputs)
