Market In Consolidation Phase Like Middle Overs, Investors Should Focus On Strategy; Not Risk: Report
Markets are in a steady phase, like cricket’s middle overs, where investors should focus on discipline and smart planning instead of risky bets, says a Motilal Oswal Private Wealth report.
Markets Extend Winning Streak, Lifted by RBI Cut and Global Rally. | Markets are in a steady phase, like cricket’s middle overs.
Key Highlights:
- Market in “middle overs” — focus on portfolio discipline over risk-taking.
- Recommended 65 percent in large-caps, 35 percent in mid/small-caps; avoid long-term bonds.
- Silver seen as a short-term opportunity; neutral stance on gold.
Mumbai: The current stock market phase is being compared to the “middle overs” in a 50-over cricket match by Motilal Oswal Private Wealth (MOPW) in a new report. This phase is not about hitting big shots, but about playing steady and smart — focusing on discipline and planning.
Don't Rush, Stick to Your Investment Plan
According to the report, investors should not increase their risk or make aggressive changes to their portfolios right now. Instead, they should stay balanced:
- 65 percent of equity investments should be in large-cap stocks
- 35 percent can go into mid- and small-cap stocks
For those who have not yet invested much in equities, MOPW suggests starting with hybrid funds or making gradual investments using SIPs (Systematic Investment Plans) or STPs (Systematic Transfer Plans) instead of lump sums into pure equity funds.
Bonds and Credit: Be Selective
The report also advised investors to reduce exposure to long-term bonds (those maturing in 10–15 years), especially now that there’s limited room for capital gains due to falling yields.
Instead, investors can focus more on accrual-based investments across the credit spectrum, such as:
- Private credit strategies
- InvITs (Infrastructure Investment Trusts)
- Select NCDs (Non-Convertible Debentures)
For those looking for tax-efficient fixed income options, arbitrage funds or income-plus-arbitrage funds of funds (FoFs) are better choices.
Silver as a Tactical Bet
While the report remains neutral on gold, it mentioned that silver could be considered a short-term tactical opportunity, though it should not replace gold in one’s portfolio.
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India’s Long-Term Story Looks Strong
India’s macroeconomic setup is described as solid — much like a high-scoring cricket pitch. The report said the March-April 2025 correction was like the PowerPlay overs, a good time to be bold. But now, in the middle overs, it’s time to play it safe and steady.
Despite:
- Foreign investor outflows
- High market valuations
There are still strong growth areas, helped by a soft US dollar, PLI schemes, free trade agreements, and low oil prices.
Mixed Near-Term Outlook
Although India’s overall economic environment is stable, short-term indicators are giving mixed signals. So, it’s wise to stay cautious and disciplined.
(With IANS Inputs)
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