Markets Brace For A Volatile Week, US-China Tariff Tensions & Key Inflation Data To Set The Tone

Markets Brace For A Volatile Week, US-China Tariff Tensions & Key Inflation Data To Set The Tone

Markets may see volatility this week as investors track US-China trade tensions, domestic inflation data, and key Q2 earnings from Infosys, HCL Tech, and Reliance Industries amid global uncertainty.

FPJ Web DeskUpdated: Sunday, October 12, 2025, 11:26 AM IST
article-image
US-China Tariff War Back in Focus. |

Mumbai: The stock markets are expected to face a choppy week as investors keep a close eye on global and domestic triggers. The renewed tariff tensions between the US and China have rattled global sentiment, with major US indices witnessing sharp declines on Friday.

The Nasdaq Composite dropped 3.56 percent, the S&P 500 fell 2.71 percent, and the Dow Jones slid 1.90 percent, sparking concerns of risk-off sentiment spilling over to emerging markets like India.

According to Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money, “The renewed escalation in the US-China tariff war could lead to dollar outflows and put pressure on equities and currencies in emerging markets.”

Inflation Data and Q2 Earnings to Drive Domestic Sentiment

Back home, the market mood will be influenced by key macroeconomic data and Q2 corporate earnings.

The government will release retail inflation (CPI) figures for September on October 13, followed by wholesale inflation (WPI) data on October 14.

Ajit Mishra, SVP – Research, Religare Broking, said, “This week will be event-heavy as focus shifts to key domestic macroeconomic data and a busy Q2 FY26 earnings calendar.”

Investors will also keep an eye on results from major companies like HCL Technologies, Infosys, Wipro, Tech Mahindra, LTIMindtree, Axis Bank, and Reliance Industries, which are expected to guide sectoral trends and overall market direction.

Global Cues and Fed Chair Speech in Spotlight

Beyond domestic triggers, global market trends and geopolitical developments will continue to shape investor sentiment.

All eyes will be on US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech on Tuesday, October 14, which could offer clues on future interest rate moves and inflation outlook.

Santosh Meena, Head of Research at Swastika Investmart, said, “Global sentiment has turned cautious after a sharp fall in US markets, and this week could be crucial for investors.”

Last week, Indian markets ended on a strong note — the BSE Sensex gained 1,293.65 points (1.59%), while the Nifty rose 391.1 points (1.57 percent).

RECENT STORIES

Trump Imposes 100% Tariff On China, India Set To Gain Big As Textile & Footwear Exports Poised To...

Trump Imposes 100% Tariff On China, India Set To Gain Big As Textile & Footwear Exports Poised To...

SBI Aims To Increase Women Workforce To 30% In Five Years, Launches Initiatives For Leadership...

SBI Aims To Increase Women Workforce To 30% In Five Years, Launches Initiatives For Leadership...

PM Kisan Yojana: Government Releases ₹42,000 Crore For Farmers, But When Will The 21st Installment...

PM Kisan Yojana: Government Releases ₹42,000 Crore For Farmers, But When Will The 21st Installment...

IPO Rush On Dalal Street Next Week, Tata Capital & LG Electronics To Lead A Busy Listing Calendar

IPO Rush On Dalal Street Next Week, Tata Capital & LG Electronics To Lead A Busy Listing Calendar

Market Rally Lifts Eight Of Top-10 Valued Firms By ₹1.94 Lakh Crore; TCS, Reliance, HDFC Bank...

Market Rally Lifts Eight Of Top-10 Valued Firms By ₹1.94 Lakh Crore; TCS, Reliance, HDFC Bank...